Kwiintsuku ezimbalwa, abantu baseMzantsi Afrika banokuba bajongene nokuvalwa kwelizwe ukuba inani labantu abaqinisekisiweyo ukuba bane-coronavirus liyaqhubeka nokunyuka.

Ixhala kukuba kunokubakho ukosuleleka okuninzi kuluntu okungafunyaniswanga ngenxa yendlela okwenziwa ngayo uvavanyo lwentsholongwane. UMzantsi Afrika usenokuba ujoyina amazwe afana ne-Itali neFransi ukuba amanyathelo achazwe nguMongameli uCyril Ramaphosa awakuthinteli ukwanda kokosuleleka. NgoLwesihlanu uMphathiswa wezeMpilo uZweli Mkhize ubhengeze ukuba abantu baseMzantsi Afrika abangama-202 bosulelwe, ukunyuka kwama-52 kusuku olungaphambili.

“Oku kuphantse kuphindwe kabini kunenani losuku oludlulileyo kwaye oko kubonisa ukwanda kobhubhane,” utshilo uNjingalwazi uAlex van den Heever, usihlalo wezifundo zolawulo lweenkqubo zokhuseleko loluntu kunye nolawulo kwiSikolo soLawulo saseWits. “Ingxaki ibikukukhetha kwinkqubo yovavanyo, kuba bebebagxotha abantu ukuba abafanelanga iikhrayitheriya. Ndikholelwa ukuba yimpazamo enkulu leyo kwaye ngokuyintloko sijika amehlo kwiintsholongwane ezinokubakho ezisekelwe kuluntu.”

UVan den Heever uthe iTshayina yaqala ukuvalwa kwayo okukhulu xa yabona ukwanda ngokukhawuleza kwamatyala amatsha aphakathi kwama-400 nama-500 ngosuku.

“Kwaye singaba neentsuku ezine kude noko, ngokuxhomekeke kumanani ethu,” utshilo uVan den Heever.

“Kodwa ukuba besibona usulelo olusekelwe kuluntu oluyi-100 ukuya kwi-200 ngosuku, mhlawumbi besiya kufuneka siphucule indlela yokuthintela.”

UBruce Mellado, uprofesa wefiziksi kwiYunivesithi yaseWits kunye nososayensi omkhulu kwi-iThemba LABS, kunye neqela lakhe bebehlalutya i-big data ukuze baqonde iindlela zehlabathi kunye nezaseMzantsi Afrika zokusasazeka kwe-coronavirus.

“Ingongoma kukuba imeko imbi kakhulu. Ukusasazeka kwale ntsholongwane kuya kuqhubeka logama nje abantu bengazinaki iingcebiso zikarhulumente. Ingxaki apha kukuba ukuba uluntu aluzihloniphi iingcebiso ezikhutshwe ngurhulumente, le ntsholongwane iya kusasazeka ize ibe nkulu,” utshilo uMellado.

"Akukho mathandabuzo ngaloo nto. Amanani acacile kakhulu. Kwaye nakumazwe anemilinganiselo ethile, ukusasazeka kwale ntsholongwane kukhawuleza kakhulu."

Oku kuza njengoko abantu abahlanu ababesiya ecaweni eFree State befunyenwe benentsholongwane. Aba bahlanu babengabakhenkethi, kodwa iSebe lezeMpilo lilungiselela ukuvavanya abantu abaphantse babe ngama-600. Okwangoku, uVan den Heever uthe amanyathelo aqalisiweyo alungile ekuthinteleni ukusasazeka kwale ntsholongwane, kuquka ukuvalwa kwezikolo kunye neeyunivesithi. Abantwana besikolo bebebonwa ngaphambili njengababangela ukosuleleka ngumkhuhlane.

Kodwa nangona uMkhize esithi kukho ithuba lokuba phakathi kwama-60% ukuya kuma-70% abantu baseMzantsi Afrika baza kosulelwa yi-coronavirus, uVan den Heever ubonise ukuba oku kunokwenzeka kuphela ukuba akukho manyathelo amiselweyo okulwa nobhubhane.

Isithethi seSebe lezeMpilo uPopo Maja uthe ukuba kuthe kwenzeka ukuvalwa kwelizwe lonke, kuya kubhengezwa nguMkhize okanye ngumongameli.

“Sikhokelwa yinkcazo yetyala njengoko iqulethwe kwiMigaqo yezeMpilo yeHlabathi ngeyunithi nganye ye-World Health Organisation,” utshilo uMaja.

Kodwa ukuba inani leentsholongwane ezisekelwe kuluntu liye landa, oko kuthetha ukuba kufuneka kuchongwe umchazi-ntsholongwane. Oku kusenokuba ziiteksi, kwaye mhlawumbi kuthetha ukuvalwa kweeteksi, kwanokumiswa kweendlela zokuthintela ukunyanzelisa ukuvalwa, utshilo uVan den Heever.

Ngelixa uloyiko lokuba izinga losulelo liza kuqhubeka linyuka, iingcali zezoqoqosho zilumkisa ukuba uqoqosho luza kuphazamiseka, ingakumbi ngexesha lokuvalelwa ekhaya.

“Iziphumo zamanyathelo okujongana ne-coronavirus ngokuqinisekileyo ziya kuba nefuthe elibi nelibalulekileyo eMzantsi Afrika,” utshilo uGqr. Sean Muller, umhlohli omkhulu kwisikolo sezoqoqosho kwiYunivesithi yaseGoli.

"Imiqathango yokuhamba iya kuba nefuthe elibi kumashishini ezokhenketho kunye neendwendwe, ngelixa amanyathelo okugcina umgama phakathi kwabantu aya kuba nefuthe elibi ngakumbi kumashishini eenkonzo."

"Ezo ziphumo zimbi, nazo, ziya kuba nefuthe elibi kwezinye iindawo zoqoqosho (kuquka icandelo elingacwangciswanga) ngokunciphisa imivuzo kunye nengeniso. Uphuhliso lwehlabathi sele lunefuthe elibi kwiinkampani ezidwelisiweyo kwaye lunokuba nefuthe elingakumbi kwicandelo lezemali."

“Nangona kunjalo, le yimeko engazange ibonwe ngaphambili, ngoko ke indlela imiqathango yangoku neyehlabathi eya kuchaphazela ngayo amashishini kunye nabasebenzi ayicaci.” “Ekubeni singakabi nalwazi lucacileyo lokuba imeko yezempilo yoluntu iya kutshintsha njani, akukho ndlela yokuza noqikelelo oluthembekileyo lobungakanani bempembelelo.”

Ukuvalwa kwelizwe kuya kubonisa intlekele, utshilo uMuller. “Ukuvalwa kwelizwe kuya kwandisa kakhulu iziphumo ezimbi. Ukuba oku kuya kuchaphazela imveliso kunye nokuhanjiswa kweempahla ezisisiseko, oko kunokubangela ukungazinzi koluntu.

“Urhulumente kufuneka alumke kakhulu ekulinganiseni amanyathelo athatyathiweyo ukuthintela ukusasazeka kwezifo kunye nemiphumo emibi enokubakho kwezoqoqosho nakwezentlalo yaloo manyathelo.” UGqr. Kenneth Creamer, ingcali yezoqoqosho kwiYunivesithi yaseWits, uvumile.

"I-coronavirus ibeka emngciphekweni omkhulu uqoqosho lwaseMzantsi Afrika olusele lujongene nokukhula okuphantsi kunye namanqanaba akhulayo obuhlwempu kunye nentswela-ngqesho."

"Kufuneka silinganisele imfuneko yezonyango yokuzama ukunciphisa ukusasazeka kwe-coronavirus, kunye nemfuneko yezoqoqosho yokuzama ukugcina amashishini ethu eqhuba kwaye sigcine amanqanaba aneleyo orhwebo, urhwebo kunye neentlawulo, igazi lobomi lomsebenzi wezoqoqosho."

Ingcali yezoqoqosho uLumkile Mondi ukholelwa ukuba amawaka abantu baseMzantsi Afrika banokujongana nokulahlekelwa yimisebenzi. “Uqoqosho lwaseMzantsi Afrika lutshintsha indlela olusebenza ngayo, ukwenziwa kwedijithali kunye nonxibelelwano phakathi kwabantu luya kuncipha emva kwengxaki. Lithuba kubathengisi, kuquka izikhululo zepetroli, ukuba bangene kwiinkonzo zabo, betshabalalisa amawaka emisebenzi,” utshilo uMondi, umfundisi omkhulu kwisikolo sezoqoqosho kunye nesayensi yezoshishino eWits.

"Iya kuvula indlela yeendlela ezintsha zokuzonwabisa kwi-intanethi okanye kwiikrini zeTV ukusuka kusofa okanye ebhedini. Intswela-ngqesho eMzantsi Afrika iya kuba kwi-30s ephezulu emva kwengxaki kwaye uqoqosho luya kwahluka. Ukuvalwa kwelizwe kunye nemeko yongxamiseko kuyafuneka ukunciphisa ukulahleka kobomi. Nangona kunjalo, impembelelo yezoqoqosho iya kwandisa ukwehla koqoqosho kwaye intswela-ngqesho kunye nobuhlwempu ziya kukhula ngakumbi."

"Urhulumente kufuneka adlale indima enkulu kakhulu kuqoqosho aze aboleke kuRoosevelt ngexesha leNgxaki Enkulu njengomqeshi wokugqibela ukuxhasa ingeniso kunye nesondlo."

Okwangoku, uGqr. Nic Spaull, umphandi ophezulu kwicandelo lezoqoqosho kwiYunivesithi yaseStellenbosch, uthe nangona ukungxola kwabafundi nabafundi kufuneka baphinde unyaka ukuba ubhubhane usasazeka ngakumbi eMzantsi Afrika kusekude, izikolo mhlawumbi azizukuvulwa emva kwePasika njengoko bekulindelwe.

“Andicingi ukuba kunokwenzeka ukuba bonke abantwana baphinde unyaka. Oko bekuya kufana nokuthi bonke abantwana baza kuba badala ngonyaka omnye kwibanga ngalinye kwaye bekungayi kubakho ndawo yabafundi abangenayo. “Ndicinga ukuba umbuzo omkhulu okwangoku kukuba izikolo ziza kuvalwa ixesha elingakanani. Umphathiswa uthe kude kube semva kwePasika kodwa andiboni izikolo zivulwa ngaphambi kokuphela kuka-Epreli okanye uMeyi.

“Oko kuthetha ukuba kufuneka size nezicwangciso zendlela abantwana abaya kufumana ngayo ukutya, kuba abantwana abazizigidi ezi-9 baxhomekeke ekutyeni kwesikolo kwasimahla. Indlela esinokulisebenzisa ngayo elo xesha ukuqeqesha ootitshala bekude kunye nendlela yokuqinisekisa ukuba abantwana banokufunda nangona besemakhaya.”

Izikolo zabucala kunye nezikolo ezihlawulisa iifizi mhlawumbi aziyi kuchaphazeleka njengezikolo ezingahlawulisi mali. “Oku kungenxa yokuba kukho unxibelelwano olungcono lwe-intanethi emakhayeni abafundi kwaye ezo zikolo zinokuthi zize nezicwangciso zokulungiselela iimeko ezingxamisekileyo zokufunda kude ngeZoom/Skype/Google Hangouts njl.njl,” utshilo uSpaull.